Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.661216 0.756388 0.859534 0.979512 1.115117 1.263515 1.438104
2025-02-09 0.508908 0.636337 0.786093 0.974600 1.205047 1.477072 1.821989
2025-02-16 0.397750 0.540224 0.720670 0.964839 1.285342 1.690295 2.239173
2025-02-23 0.317964 0.466588 0.668387 0.960284 1.369184 1.918675 2.709523
2025-03-02 0.257834 0.406811 0.622651 0.954739 1.448561 2.150492 3.217100
2025-03-09 0.216752 0.365856 0.595248 0.968789 1.555334 2.432538 3.832228
2025-03-16 0.179485 0.323082 0.556951 0.958704 1.622537 2.663388 4.400976
2025-03-23 0.155962 0.297948 0.541647 0.981284 1.742167 2.987252 5.151987
2025-03-30 0.131555 0.266305 0.509639 0.969808 1.802361 3.221279 5.785105
2025-04-06 0.115307 0.246373 0.494494 0.984609 1.908234 3.541983 6.599273
2025-04-13 0.097089 0.218925 0.460636 0.959074 1.936753 3.730094 7.202473
2025-04-20 0.088235 0.208855 0.458425 0.993222 2.080208 4.139142 8.247405
2025-04-27 0.081458 0.202215 0.462551 1.041665 2.259979 4.640287 9.528962
2025-05-04 0.072183 0.188127 0.448761 1.050920 2.362511 5.006063 10.594641
2025-05-11 0.063468 0.173569 0.431477 1.049885 2.443338 5.338136 11.631671
2025-05-18 0.056147 0.160915 0.416331 1.051127 2.528907 5.689088 12.745685
2025-05-25 0.049654 0.149008 0.400878 1.049114 2.606658 6.031920 13.879868
2025-06-01 0.045068 0.141261 0.394268 1.067134 2.732356 6.491091 15.311426
2025-06-08 0.039770 0.130343 0.377692 1.057815 2.792144 6.811181 16.471957
2025-06-15 0.036637 0.125091 0.375101 1.083734 2.940511 7.346825 18.170759
2025-06-22 0.032411 0.115542 0.359138 1.071878 2.993023 7.666083 19.406137
2025-06-29 0.029692 0.110173 0.354006 1.088631 3.120895 8.177246 21.143497
2025-07-06 0.025896 0.100334 0.334107 1.060877 3.128009 8.396411 22.204058